New Poll Shows Democrat Grijalva Faces Tough Re-Elect

On Monday, the Summit Consulting Group released a poll showing that Democrat Raul Grijalva could lose his seat in Congress to Republican candidate Ruth McClung.

Republican Challenger Ruth McClung Within Striking Distance

PHOENIX, AZ – A recent survey conducted by Phoenix-based Summit Consulting Group, Inc. shows four-term Democrat Congressman Raul Grijalva in a surprisingly tough re-election campaign against Republican Challenger Ruth McClung.

An automated survey conducted between October 4^th and 5^th among 1,807 likely general election voters shows McClung clearly within striking distance of beating Grijalva in Congressional District 7 which encompasses a large swath of southwestern Arizona.

When asked the question,

“In the upcoming general election for Congress, do you plan on supporting Democrat Raul Grijalva, Republican Ruth McClung, or are you undecided?”

The results were:

Raul Grijalva                  37%

Ruth McClung               39%

Undecided                    24%

Based on the results, McClung has locked down the Republican base, losing only 5% to Grijalva.  She earns 18% among Democrat voters and a whopping 42% among Independents.

The sample included voters who have participated in the last two general elections and was in line with the current voter registration numbers.   Democrats comprised 43%, Republican voters 24% and Independent, Party Not Determined and Other Party were 33% of the sample used.

The margin of error is +/-3%.